Real Time Analytics
×
0

2017 SQ NFL Insiders : Week 3

Austin Taliaferro

Week 3 gets interesting when a pair of undefeated teams clash in Michigan, with the Falcons taking on the Lions. Who do our insiders have winning?

Our SQ Insiders discuss Week 2 results and what they’re looking forward to in the NFL this Week. Plus, get their picks for all 16 games across the league this week. Check out last week’s picks to see how we did!


Adrian: So Case Keenum, Nick? Really? Next time don’t forget to eat a Snickers before making your picks. At least I put some eggs in the slightly stronger basket of the Red Rifle. What game is catching your eyes this week, guys?

Nick: I have to admit I was overconfident in the Vikings after Week 1. Next time I’ll think twice before picking against Big Ben at home. On the other hand, the two of you put your trust in the Giants after the Cowboys’ “defense” shut them down in Week 1. Lesson learned. This week, I’ve got my eye on the matchup between Atlanta and Detroit. The Lions look impressive, but what’ll happen when they face a real offense?

Adrian: That should be a game. We’re all riding with the Falcons, but you’re right. The Lions have looked good and are playing at home, and the Falcons did look shaky Week 1 on the road against the Bears. This is certainly a potential statement game for Detroit if they were to come away with one here.

Matchup

Mitch B

Nick C

Adrian N

LA Rams at San Francisco
Baltimore at Jacksonville
Denver at Buffalo
New Orleans at Carolina
Pittsburgh at Chicago
Atlanta at Detroit
Cleveland at Indianapolis
Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Houston at New England
Miami at NY Jets
NY Giants at Philadelphia
Seattle at Tennessee
Cincinnati at Green Bay
Kansas City at LA Chargers
Oakland at Washington
Dallas at Arizona
Total Record

13-311-512-4



Matchup

Avg Score

Winner

Why They’ll Win

Why They Might Not

LA Rams at San Francisco18-16Although they only have one win to show, the Rams have put in two solid performances. While heavily skewed by drawing the Colts in Week 1, they are second in the league in point differential and have solid players on both sides of the ball.The 49ers have not done much, but they have produced a solid defense so far that has only given up an average of 17.5 points over their last two games. Last week, against a Washington team with a more solid defense that will be closer to what the 49ers roll out, Jared Goff only managed a QBR of 27. San Francisco can grind out a win in a low-scoring affair.
Baltimore at Jacksonville18-9Baltimore has 10 takeaways. The next closest team has five. This team is opportunistic and couldn’t be going against a more mistake prone quarterback th-n Blake Bortles.The story with the Jaguars is Blake Bortles and ball security. Over his career, the Bortles has a 14% winning percentage when throwing an interception and a 50% wining percentage when he doesn’t. If he can avoid the big mistake, the Jags’ defense can do enough to escape with a win.
Denver at Buffalo24-14That Denver defense is back to peak form. If they can make the maulers on the Cowboys’ offense line look silly, then they can do that to anybody. They are fourth-best in the league in yards per game allowed, and are facing a Buffalo team that is 24th is offensive yards per game.Buffalo has given up an average of only 57.5 rushing yards per game to start the season off. If the Bills can stifle Anderson and make the Broncos reliant on Siemian, then it might be hard for them to score points regardless of how their defense plays.
New Orleans at Carolina25-29After giving up 29 points to Sam Bradford and 36 points to Tom Brady, it’s safe to say the Saints have not fixed any of their defensive woes. Cam Newton, if healthy, and this Panthers offense has a great chance to get right on Sunday.If the game turns into a shoot-out, this favors the Saints. The Panthers have only managed 16 points per game, and although their defense has held Brian Hoyer and Tyrod Taylor to three points a piece, Drew Brees is a different animal.
Pittsburgh at Chicago33-15Pittsburgh is back to being a menacing team that will get after the quarterback. They already have nine sacks, good enough for third-best in the league and are going against a Bears team whose offensive line has struggled over the last several seasons.Le’Veon Bell is only averaging 60 yards across these first two contest. Without him at his peak the Steelers’ offense does not have the same level of explosiveness, giving the Bears a chance to hang in there and grab it at the end.
Atlanta at Detroit33-22The Falcons are coming off a dominant win against Green Bay and might have the scariest offense in the league. The Lions may be 2-0, but haven’t faced an offense anywhere close to what Altanta is bringing to town. The Lions have looked impressive thus far, but that’ll happen when you face the Cardinals and Giants to begin the year. Matthew Stafford is still 5-46 against teams with a winning record in his career, and Atlanta has looked like the best team in the NFL through two weeks.
Cleveland at Indianapolis15-16Playing at home is always a boost and it will take the full +3 points that home teams empirically get playing in familiar territory for the Colts to win this one. They led late against the Cardinals last Week, but couldn’t put them away. If Cleveland falls behind it will be much harder for them to dig themselves out.The Colts are mathematically the worst team in the NFL currently, sporting a -40 point differential. The Browns have at least shown competence at times, and while Deshone Kizer isn’t going to keep defensive coordinators up at night, his willingness to throw the ball downfield and the additional threat he brings on the ground is certainly enough to get past a bad Indy team.
Tampa Bay at Minnesota25-19The Bucs cruised to a victory in Week 2, but will have a much stiffer test in Minnesota coming up. Nobody on the Vikings can match up with Mike Evans physically, and until Sam Bradford is 100%, the Vikings’ offense doesn’t pose much of a threat to Tampa Bay’s up-and-coming defense. Sam Bradford threw for 346 yards in Week 1, while Case Keenum only mustered 167 passing yards as Bradford’s replacement in Week 2. While a lot of that has to do with the defense the Vikings were facing, the team will be hard-pressed to win ball games without a fully healthy offense.
Houston at New England11-31New England put up a stinker in their last home game and will be looking to put on a show for their fans in Week 3. Last week, Tom Brady had three touchdowns in the first quarter alone and reminded people why the Pats should never be questioned, even after a loss. Houston has already allowed 13 sacks this season and will be lucky to come close to New England in Gilette Stadium this Sunday. DeShaun Watson has shown promise, but is still far too inexperienced to keep up with Tom Brady on the road.
Miami at NY Jets23-14Miami’s Jay Ajayi looked impressive in Week 2, gaining 122 rushing yards on 28 carries. The Jets’ run defense was pounded for 180 yards last week and is not equipped to deal with a powerful, downhill runner like Ajayi, who should carry Miami to victory come Sunday. The Jets have looked exactly how everyone expected them to so far this season. With no real offensive weapons to speak of, they’ll have a tough time scoring enough points to win ball games regardless of opponent. Their secondary was just bullied by Michael Crabtree for three touchdowns, and will likely have problems with big-bodied DeVante Parker, who is becoming more of a factor in Miami’s offense.
NY Giants at Philadelphia18-20Carson Wentz has taken a step forward this season and is currently fourth in the NFL in passing yards, showing he has what it takes to score on tougher defensive units. Philly’s fearsome front seven will give the Giants’ offensive line all kinds of problems, considering New York has already surrendered eight sacks and hasn’t provided Eli Manning any time to throw.The Giants have now failed to reach 20 points in seven straight games and Eli Manning continues to get crushed in the backfield. Until the team can figure out a solution up front, even their top-tier defense won’t be able to keep them in games. Fletcher Cox and Brandom Graham should have a field day come Sunday.
Seattle at Tennessee16-19As many people’s picks to win the AFC South this year, this is the type of game that the Titans need to win. At home, coming off a win, and against a tough opponent. The Seahawks’ offense has looked abysmal. Mariota is the most efficient red zone QB that we’ve seen in years. He’ll be able to make the most of the few opportunities that he’ll be presented with against a tough Seattle defense.This defense may be better than the one that was present when the Seahawks won the Super Bowl just a few seasons ago. While the offense hasn’t connected yet, Russell Wilson’s ability to make something out of nothing is always a threat in any game, and when Seattle’s defense has them in the game late, it will only take one miracle play for everyone to remember why Wilson has been one of the most revered young quartebacks in the history of the league.
Cincinnati at Green Bay17-29Aaron Rodgers is damn good, and Any Dalton is damn bad. There is a 49.4 difference in QBR between them this season, and in the NFL the quarterback position matters so much more than anything else.The Packers’ offensive line is once again in shambles. While the Bengals’ offense may be bad, Geno Atkins and the defense is up for the task. When Jordy Nelson has missed times or been less than 100%, the Packers have often struggled. His injury coupled with poor Packers protection is the perfect predicate for the Bengals to poach a game on the road.
Kansas City at LA Chargers31-25The Kansas City Chiefs are the kings of maximizing regular season performance. Since Andy Reid has taken over the reigns, they have always been a better than average team and this year is no different. What is different through two games is how Alex Smith looks. He is throwing the ball downfield and is third-best in the NFL in yards per pass attempt at 9.83. Please don’t go anywhere, suddenly interesting Alex Smith.You know he’ll have a chance. Philip Rivers will be down one possession with no timeouts, 70 yards to go, and under two minutes to do it. You just don’t know what calamity will try to stop him and the Chargers from getting a win. The Chargers always play teams close, and if they have a few balls bounce their way, they are more than capable of beating a Chiefs team that has looked stellar to start the season.
Oakland at Washington29-24Oakland has picked up right where they left off last season. Week 1 they picked up an impressive win on the road against the Titans and Week 2 they covered a 14-point spread, the highest they had been favored in years, against the Jets with a 45-20 win. The Raiders are firing on all cylinders and I, for one, am interested in what Marshawn Lynch will do next.Washington picked up a solid win on cross country against a better-than-advertised Rams team. In that game, Rob Kelley averaged 6.5 yards per carry before leaving with an injury. If he can return healthy and the Redskins can again have success on the ground and avoid relying too heavily on Kirk Cousins, then they could pick up an elusive primetime win.
Dallas at Arizona28-15Dallas looked shell-shocked on Sunday as they were completely dominated in the trenches on both sides of the ball. But, the Cardinals are no Broncos, and the Dallas offensive line should get right back to business, as should Ezekiel Elliot, who will be fired up after having his effort publicly questioned by head coach Jason Garrett.Carson Palmer has looked completely washed, but what has looked as good as advertised has been the Cardinals’ secondary. Often put in a bad spot due to poor offensive play, the secondary has performed better than the numbers indicate and came away with a huge OT interception to seal their first win of the season last Sunday against the Colts. They have the talent to make it a frustrating night for Cowboys QB Dak Prescott.


Edited by Emily Berman, Coleman Gray.

SQuiz
What college did Matt Ryan attend?
Created 9/21/17
  1. Boston College
  2. Delaware
  3. Georgia
  4. Tennessee

Be the first to comment! 0 comments

Loading...

What do you think?

Please log in or register to comment!

Can't get enough SQ?

Sign up for our weekly newsletter here!