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NFL 2018 SQ Insiders: Week 11

Austin Taliaferro

Our insiders pick the Week 9 games to help you beat Vegas and your pick’em league.

The game of the week is obvious, no need for fluff. The Kansas City Chiefs travel to take on the Los Angeles Rams. 

The game was originally to take place in Mexico City, but due to poor field conditions, the game has been moved to LA

The week opened with the Rams as a 2.5 point favorite and with the shift in venue, the line may move further in the Rams’ direction. That being said, our Insiders are not deterred. They are all on the Chiefs, having them winning by a final score of 35-31. 

Check out the rest of the game picks below:


Matchup

Max V

Hunter B

Matt F

Adrian N

Green Bay at Seattle
Dallas at Atlanta
Minnesota at Chicago
Carolina at Detroit
Tennessee at Indianapolis
Philadelphia at New Orleans
Tampa Bay at NY Giants
Houston at Washington
Cincinnati at Baltimore
Oakland at Arizona
Denver at LA Chargers
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
Kansas City at LA Rams
Total Record

93-5394-5297-49104-42



Matchup

Conglomerate Score

ATS Winner

Pick’em Winner

Why the home team will win

Why the away team will win

Green Bay at Seattle24-24GB+2.5TiedSeattle has had back-to-back close losses against very good teams. A home matchup against the 4-4-1 Packers should be an easier task.Even with a mediocre-at-best supporting cast, a team led by Aaron Rodgers should be above .500. The Pack’s passing game has a good opportunity to tear apart a secondary that has lost nearly all of its key playmakers from last season.
Dallas at Atlanta23-29ATL-3.5The Falcons know how to score points and Dallas is pretty good at giving them up. Atlanta is a great environment to play in for the home team, which should give the Falcons the edge. The game is contingent upon Atlanta stopping the running game. If the front seven can contain Elliott and force Dak Prescott to make plays, Atlanta will get back on track against the Cowboys.Dallas walked into one of the hardest places to play and dominated the Eagles last week. The offense looked great and Ezekiel Elliott looked unstoppable. If the Cowboys can replicate that performance against a significantly worse defense in Atlanta, Dallas should win the shootout. Prescott must take care of the football and hand the ball off to Elliott as much as possible. The defense should be able to make the Falcons one-dimensional by stopping the run, making them all the more predictable.
Minnesota at Chicago25-25MIN+2.5TiedOutside of the heartbreaking loss to the Patriots, the Bears are 4-0 at home this season. The defense is allowing just under 15 points in those four games, while the offense is averaging 32.5 points. The Bears are an impressive team at home this season, and a visit from their division rivals and closest challengers to the NFC North should lead to an amped up team and crowd. Soldier Field will be rocking and the Bears love to play in front of those fans.Minnesota, coming off the bye, will be well rested and well prepared for this Chicago team. Although the Bears sport an impressive defense, the Vikings are built to score points. Thielen and Diggs will be a nightmare for Chicago’s secondary, and Cousins is playing some of the best football of his career. I don’t see Trubisky and that offense moving the ball as effectively as Minnesota, especially with the Rhodes following Allen Robinson all over the field.
Carolina at Detroit30-20CAR-3.5Kerryon Johnson has emerged as the leading back in Detroit, and he’ll be necessary if the Lions want to upset the Panthers. If Detroit can establish a consistent ground game, Stafford should be able to pick apart an average Carolina secondary. The strength of the Panthers lies up the middle with Kuechly and Davis, but if the running backs can gain some ground up the middle, the Lions could catch the Panthers off guard and off their game.Carolina has been one of the hottest teams in the league and has the clear talent advantage over Detroit. The Pittsburgh loss stings, but Carolina is hungry to bounce back and prove they are a true contender this season. Cam Newton should be able to move the ball, and Christian McCaffrey is a matchup nightmare for this Detroit defense. Look for short passes and outside runs to really setup the passing game of Carolina.
Tennessee at Indianapolis20-21TEN+2.5Tennessee looked as good as any team in the NFL last week in a blowout win over New England. Mike Vrabel’s defense should have no problem rattling Andrew Luck and taking the run game completely out of the equation.
Philadelphia at New Orleans19-34NO-8.5New Orleans looks like the best team in the NFL. With Drew Brees playing the way he is and Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram rushing the ball the way they are, it’s tough seeing any defense being able to shut down this offense. The Saints will keep things rolling towards the number one seed in the NFC.It may not have looked like it early on, but the Colts actually have a shot at winning the AFC South. If they can take care of business at home and keep moving the ball in the air, they can keep this win streak alive.
Tampa Bay at NY Giants21-25NYG-0.5Thanks to a fourth quarter drive from Eli Manning, the Giants were able to pick up their second win on the season. Tampa Bay is the worst team in the league, meaning it should be a prime opportunity for big play threats Barkley and Beckham to breakout.Despite losing last week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers put up 501 yards of offense. The issue is they came up with only 3 points due to 4 turnovers and a 1-for-3 day from their kicker. If they can just be average in those two categories instead of awful, they should be able to handle the Giants.
Houston at Washington23-18HOU-2.5Washington is 4th best in the league in points given up per game due in large part to them being ranked 4th in takeaways and 3rd in turnover differential. If they can keep up their stellar play in that area, then it should be enough to slow down a very good Texans offense.Houston is a 6-3 with a +32 point differential. Washington is a 6-3 team with a +1 point differential. While the Redskins defense has played this season, the offense has been abysmal. An offensive line missing three starters should be dominated by the Houston front seven.
Cincinnati at Baltimore21-24CIN+3.5Baltimore is coming off of a bye week and will be eager to dominate a divisional foe at home.Cincinnati is hungry for a win after being embarrassed at home by New Orleans. Add the motivation brought by facing a divisional opponent in a tight AFC North race, and we’ve got a ball game.
Oakland at Arizona13-17ARZ-3.5Arizona played Kansas City pretty tough last week. They held the league’s best offense to just 26 points and David Johnson had his best game of the year. If Josh Rosen can play a turnover free football, this is a very winnable game for Arizona.The Raiders have been the league’s worst team this year. On the bright side, they played the Chargers tougher than expected and will play a team that isn’t playing that much better than they are. The Raiders will need a good game from Derek Carr, but the Cardinals aren’t likely to score 30+ points, so the Raiders should be able to keep this close.
Denver at LA Chargers21-28DEN+7.5Los Angeles is one of the few teams to be both top 10 in points allowed and points scored per game. They are an extremely balanced team, and going up against a Broncos team that has struggled to find both offensive and defensive consistency. The stars are aligned for another Chargers win.The one strength that the Broncos have is the run game. They are top 10 in the league in rushing. To beat a good team like the Chargers, you need to control time of possession and the easiest way to do this is with the run. Success on the ground may translate into a win.
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville29-13PIT-5.5The Jaguars have had the Steelers number over the last year, so even though they are struggling as of late, they could put together a dominant effort to keep their season alive. If the defense can keep this game low scoring, the Jaguars could walk away with a victory.Pittsburgh needs to use this game as a statement game. The Jagaurs beat them handedly last year, and going into their house and blowing out the Jaguars will show everyone in the league that this is a different Steelers team.
Kansas City at LA Rams35-31KC+2.5The Rams’ power run game will allow them to control the ball and keep it out of Patrick Mahomes’ hands. Their pass rush is also far superior to Kansas City’s, which may be the key difference in this game.As much as L.A. moves the ball on offense, it still doesn’t compare to the firepower that Kansas City has. With WR Cooper Kupp out, the Rams are not likely to win this game in a shootout. The Chiefs’ passing attack will look to take advantage of the Rams’ secondary, which has not looked good since CB Aqib Talib got injured early in the season.


Edited by Joe Sparacio, Brian Kang, Dani Quintana.

SQuiz
How many touchdowns have Jared Goff and Patrick Mahomes combined to throw through Week 10?
Created 11/13/18
  1. 38
  2. 44
  3. 49
  4. 53

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