Who has a chance this week in the RBC Canadian Open?
Pick to Win:
Brooks Koepka (22/1): This is a course with four par 5s, where getting a lot of par breakers will be crucial for a successful week. Those are two things Koepka excels at: he ranks sixth on tour in Par 5 Scoring Average, and 10th in Parbreakers. The new greens should be no problem for Koepka, who is ninth in Strokes Gained: Putting. The par 5s should be reachable for Koepka, so don’t be surprised to see him get three or four eagles this week. He has made the last five cuts, with four of them going for top-20s.
Players to Watch:
Luke Donald (25/1): He is finally looking good. Last week’s T-12th at The Open Championship and the T-7th at The Travelers suggest that perhaps he is back in form. This is a course where putting should be important, since the greens are new to everyone. Once regarded as the best putter in the world, and still considered to be an elite putter, he should be able to gain strokes on the green.
Kevin Chappell (50/1): Chappell is on a streak of seven made cuts in a row, and I don’t see that coming to an end this week. His stats are misleading because the start of the season was pretty bad. However, Chappell is an elite Ball Striker and is elite at Total Driving when he is on his game, which should lead to a lot of chances on the par 5s. He is ranked 20th in Par 5 Eagles this season as well.
Matt Jones (70/1): Jones is a guy who knows how to get birdies. His GIR% is horrible, ranking 163rd on tour, yet he is ranked 16th in Parbreakers, and 22nd in Par 5 Scoring Average. His form is pretty good, having made five of his last six cuts. I would predict a top-30 is upcoming for Jones.
Hudson Swafford (175/1): Swafford is going to win on tour eventually. And it won’t be such a big shock when he does. He has made nine of his last 11 cuts, which suggests that he is becoming a more consistent player than he was in the past. However, he still knows how to put birdies on the card, ranking 24th in Parbreakers. He is another player who is elite at driving, and should give himself a few eagle looks this week.
Edited by Emily Berman.
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