Real Time Analytics

John Deere Classic

Who are some players to watch at The John Deer Classic?


This tournament is one of the easiest on tour, with a winning score of -20 or lower to be expected. The stats i’m looking at this week are SG:TTG, SG:P, GIR%, Driving Accuracy, Parbreakers,  and birdie or better % from 100-150 yards.

Pick to Win:

  • Zach Johnson (9/1): To say he dominates this course might be an understatement. In the last four years, his worst finish was 3rd place in 2011. Last year, he was in bad form, and still finished runner up. This year, he comes into this tournament with seven top 25s in his last nine tournaments, including two top 10s in his last three.

Players to watch:

  • Jason Bohn (50/1): I’ll call Bohn an “educated gut pick” this week. I have a strong feeling he will play well this week, and the stats support that he might as well. He commented on how much he loves St. Andrews, and to just barely miss out on securing a spot to play next week at the Open Championship, after co-leading going into Sunday, must have been highly disappointing to him. I think this week he’ll get his spot. His form is good, and in the last five years at this course, he has finished top 30 in three of them. He also has the best stats for the week, ranking 3rd in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR%, and 25th in parbreakers.

  • Robert Streb (33/1): I don’t think an article can be complete without a Robert Streb mention at least once. I was really excited this weekend about getting a brand new putter, but Streb tried to show us that it is better to buy a wedge instead: With a wedge, I can practice my wedge shots and my putting with only one club! Streb has regained his form, having made his last six cuts in a row, with five of them being top 30s. Four of those were top 20s, highlighted by last week’s playoff loss. He is 2/2 making the cut at this tournament, with a T-37th in 2014, and a T-22nd in 2013. He is a well-balanced player who can adjust to any course, and I don’t see this week being an exception.

Sleeper Pick:

  • Hudson Swafford (150/1): Recently, Swafford has seemed to be playing safe. His birdie rate is lower than before, but the bogey rate is also down. This might help to explain why he is making more cuts, but his results are not impressive. At a course where the goal is to see who can make the most birdies, the old Swafford might be back this week. He is ranked 35th in Strokes Gained: Putting, 66th in Driving Accuracy (but also 27th in Driving Distance), 38th in GIR%, and 26th in Parbreakers. I’ll boldly predict that Swafford finishes top 20 this week.

Edited by Jeremy Losak.

Who was not in the playoff at The Greenbrier Classic?
Created 7/9/15
  1. Robert Streb
  2. Kevin Kisner
  3. Danny Lee
  4. Jason Bohn

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