DraftKings targets for the week.
Favorite DraftKings Targets
Jimmy Walker ($12,200): This week, there are plenty of great options in this tier. Walker has been playing pretty well leading up to this event, and has won the last two tries at this tournament. He’s comfortable here, and usually starts the year well. It’d be surprising to see him perform poorly this week.
Matt Kuchar ($11,500): Kuchar is ultra-consistent, and hasn’t finished worse than T-eighth in his last four appearances here. Statisically, he is an excellent fit for this course, as he is ranked in the top-35 in Strokes Gained: Total; Strokes Gained: Putting; Par 4 Scoring Average; and Bogey Avoidance. He’s my pick to win.
Charles Howell III ($9,700): Howell usually starts the year off fast, and fades by the end of the year. His last three tournaments have all been top-25s, and there is no reason to think that he won’t continue playing well this week at a course where he is clearly comfortable. He is 5/5 making the cut in the last five years, including three top-10s, and a 26th-place finish last year.
Ryan Palmer ($8,900): I think there is a decent chance people will pass on him, especially with Will Wilcox being only $100 more. However, I really like him, as he is a consistent cut maker with high upside as well. He finished in the top-20 in his last event, and comes to a course where he has made four of his last five cuts, including top-20s in the most recent two.
William McGirt ($7,800): He isn’t so great at this course, having only one top-40 in his last four tries. However, he has made three cuts of those four attempts, and is coming in on great form. He has survived his last five cuts, and finished runner up in his last event, and top-10 before that. He is statistically strong, ranking in the top-50 in all stats except for SG:P, where he is ranked roughly average.
Jerry Kelly ($7,400): I would be shocked if Kelly isn’t one of the most popular picks this week. He is generally a hit or miss kind of guy, but he is the most comfortable player in the field at this course. This appearance will be his 18 consecutive appearance at this tournament, where he has finished in the top-10 eight times. The last two tries have been sixth and third place finishes. He also has made five straight cuts leading into this event, and I don’t see him finishing outside the top-25 this week.
Zac Blair ($6,700): Blair is my sleeper pick of the week. I would be pretty surprised to see him have a high ownership, with Sabbatini and Pat Perez being priced slightly lower. However, Blair comes in with better form than either of them, having made his last three cuts with no finishes outside the top-45. Except for SG:T, Blair is statistically very strong, ranking 11th in SG:P; 50th in Par 4 Scoring Average; and 16th in Bogey Avoidance. Last year at this event, he finished T-sixth. This course is a short course with fairways that are hard to hit, which fits into Blair’s game. In addition, the greens are Bermuda, where Blair putts even better than he normally does. I’m looking for him to finish in the top-25, and think he could even compete for the trophy.
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