Who might do well at the Northern Trust Open?
This event will be hosted at Riviera, a Par 71 stretching 7,322 yards in total length. There are three par 5s, and four par 3s. This will be one of the first tournaments of the year to have players thrilled to end the round at even par, as many of the tournaments have had low scores.
Players to target:
Jordan Spieth ($13,200): With five top-25s in a row dating back to last year, fantastic stats, and two top-15s here in his last two attempts, what’s not to love about Spieth this week? His price tag for how difficult the field is, that’s what. It’s hard to pay up to get him, but if there is a way to do it, he’s the guy you want.
Jimmy Walker ($10,600): I love all the guys in the 10-11K range. Hideki, DJ, Rose, Bubba are great options as well. If you have left over money, perhaps you can move Walker to either Hideki or DJ, but I like Walker almost as much as those two, and more so than Bubba. Walker has finished top-25 in his last four events, and has finished in the top-25 here in four of the last five years. He’s a safe pick to do well, and has great upside as well.
Sergio Garcia ($10,100): In his last three events worldwide, he hasn’t finished worse than T-11th. He came so close to winning it last year, but ended up finishing fourth. His last three tries here have all been top-15s, and a course that suits Tee-to-Green players is a course that suits Sergio Garcia. It should be a great week for Garcia.
Charl Schwartzel ($9,600): Schwartzel is another player who is well known for being a strong Tee-to-Green player, as evidenced by his course history that includes two top-fives in the last three years. In his last three events worldwide, he has finished first, ninth, and first. He’s playing great, and comes to a course that he has had a lot of success on already. He’s my pick to win this week.
Brendan Steele ($8,300): Steele is a player that I’m usually super into, while others are not. That’s fine with me because he’s an excellent player who usually makes it to the weekend. This week he might be a popular choice however, as he statistically is a great fit for the course, which is backed up by his course history (four straight made cuts, including top-15s in the last two years). He’s coming in on good form as well, having made the last three cuts and having finished top-20 in his last tournament.
William McGirt ($7,300): Although McGirt has let me down in two of the last three weeks I’ve gotten him, I think I found an interesting trend. He’s been fantastic all year, outside of the two missed cuts he’s had recently. However, both of those events were three-day cuts, meaning he hasn’t yet had a finish outside the top-30 where the cut is after two days. He has finished top-15 here both times in the last two years, so this is clearly a course he can do well at.
Roberto Castro ($6,700): I was somewhat into him last week, and unfortunately didn’t put enough effort into getting him into my lineup as I should’ve. He had a chance to win it all week, and I think he will be strong this week as well. He recently had a kid, and a lot of times that motivates players. In addition, he just has been a lot better this year than last. For the price, all you need from him is a made cut, but he has the skill to do so much more than that.
Daniel Summerhays ($6,500): Speaking of making cuts, what is Summerhays doing at this price? Last week was his first missed cut of the year, having connected made cuts on 11 events prior to that. It’s somewhat concerning that following a missed cut, it seems Summerhays tends to miss the cut the next week as well, but he is statistically sound for the course. He also has finished top-30 in the last two years here. I think this price is way too low on someone who almost always makes the cut, and most of the time finishes decently as well.
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