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The SQ Premier League Predictor: Matchday Fourteen

Austin Taliaferro

Stats & predictions for matchday Fourteen

Let’s be honest. In soccer, we all like to think that we can predict what the scores will be and take unrivaled joy in correctly guessing the outcomes of the biggest games. That sentiment is echoed by the soccer writers here at SQ, so we have decided to put our claims to the test with a weekly competition in which we will try and predict the scores for all of the Premier League games.

The outcome of each week’s predictions will be decided in a points format with a subsequent rankings table that will run until the end of the season to see who is the best predictor. The scoring system is as follows:

  • No points - for failing to guess the correct result. (Example, you pick Chelsea to win against Aston Villa, but the match ends in a win or draw for Aston Villa. Likewise, if you pick a draw and one of the sides win)

  • One Point - for correctly guessing the result without the score line. (Example, you pick Chelsea to win 3-0 but they win 4-0 instead, or you pick a 2-2 draw but it finishes 1-1 etc.)

  • Three Points - for correctly guessing the result and score line. (Example, you pick Chelsea to win 3-0, and they win 3-0) 

  • Banker - Doubles any points scored in the chosen match. (Each participant gets to use one per week)


Game of the Week

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Stadium: White Hart Lane, Tottenham

Kick-Off: Sunday 12pm (GMT), 6am (CDT), 7am (EDT), 4am (PDT) 

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Last Season: Chelsea 3-0 Tottenham (Dec. 3, 2014)

Tottenham 5-3 Chelsea (Jan. 1, 2015)

Head-To-Head Record: Tottenham - 50 wins, Chelsea - 65 wins, Draws - 38

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Key Stats:

  • Chelsea have had the upper-hand on their rivals for quite some time now. In the 45 matches between the sides in the Premier League, the Blues have lost just four times. But each of those defeats have come at White Hart Lane, including last season’s 5-3 loss.

  • This fixture has been filled with goals in recent meetings. There have been 35 in the last eight matches (all competitions), which averages at a whopping 4.3 per game. 

  • Chelsea have scored at least two goals in seven of those eight matches.

  • The Blues will need to keep a close eye on in-form striker Harry Kane this weekend. The Tottenham man has found the net 12 times in his 14 London derbies and is on a four-game scoring streak in the Premier League.

  • Tottenham have had more shots on target than any other team in the top flight (88).

  • The hosts are on the longest current unbeaten run in the Premier League this season (12 games). Their last and only loss was on the opening day at Manchester United.

  • Chelsea have an abysmal record on their travels so far. The Blues have won just once away from Stamford Bridge in six games and lost each of their last three.

  • Spurs have found the net at least three times in three of their last four home games.

  • Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last eight away games.

Prediction: This is one of the most hotly anticipated games of the season so far and the stats all point to another thriller. Tottenham are absolutely flying at the moment and will enter their third consecutive London derby full of confidence after last week’s resounding 4-1 win against the Hammers. It will be needed too, as they rarely get the better of Jose Mourinho’s side. The Blues have won twice already this week and another three points aganst the League’s in-form side will be the kick-start to there woeful campaign. A high score draw is favorable, but Spurs may well pinch it.

Tottenham 3-2 Chelsea


Other Games

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Stadium: Villa Park, Aston Villa.

Kick-Off: Saturday 3pm (GMT), 9am (CDT), 10am (EDT), 7am (EDT)

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Last Season: N/A

Head-To-Head Record: Aston Villa - 7 wins, Watford - 5 wins, Draws - 5

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: Although this fixture may not get the pulse raising for the neutral fan, it is a massive match for these two sides. Both are battling to survive the dreaded drop and are desperate to take the full three points from one of their rivals. Aston Villa’s need is perhaps greater; they sit bottom of the league and were walloped for four at Goodison Park last week. The Villains have yet to find the net under new boss Remi Garde, and they will certainly find it tough against a well-drilled Watford. The Hornets have gone slightly under the radar so far this season and deserve a lot of credit for their gritty performances. They are probably favorites to get a win at Villa Park this weekend but if Ighalo and Deeney are kept quiet, its hard to see them finding the net. Villa need the win but simply can’t lose, which may lead to a cagey affair.

Aston Villa 0-0 Watford


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Stadium: Vitality Stadium, Boournemouth.

Kick-Off: Saturday 3pm (GMT), 9am (CDT), 10am (EDT), 7am (PDT)

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Last Season: N/A

Head-To-Head Record: Bournemouth - 0 wins, Everton - 3 wins, Draws - 0

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: The Cherries were great for the most part at Swansea last week and should be disappointed leaving Wales with a single point. Eddie Howe’s men are still struggling to find their rhythm in the Premier League and are now winless since mid-September. This run has coincided with the serious knee injury for top scorer Callum Wilson and a lack of goals is one of the major factors in the poor form. But that sentiment is not the same for Roberto Martinez’ men, who have smashed eleven goals in three games as they step up their pursuit of Champions League football. They will certainly fancy their chances of scoring a few more against a Cherries side that has kept just one clean sheet this season and should record a comfortable win.

Bournemouth 1-3 Everton


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Stadium: Selhurst Park, Crystal Palace.

Kick-Off: Saturday 3pm (GMT), 9am (CDT), 10am (EDT), 7am (PDT)

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Last Season: Newcastle 3-3 Crystal Palace (Aug. 30, 2014)

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle (Feb. 11, 2015)

Head-To-Head Record: Crystal Palace - 8 wins, Newcastle - 23 wins, Draws - 6.

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: Both these sides come into this weekend’s meeting on the back of poor results and will be hoping to get back to winning ways. The visitor’s were resoundingly beaten by table-toppers Leicester at home, but the bigger disappointment was Palace’s lackluster 1-0 defeat to an underwhelming Sunderland. Alan Pardew’s men have struggled to make the transition from a superb counter-attacking team on the road to an equally ruthless side at home. When the onus is on them to break down a rigid defense, they often get found out, and Monday’s defeat was their fourth at Selhurst Park already. No doubt Newcastle will employ similar tactics this weekend, but they have so many lapses in concentration and make so many individual errors, that it is hard to see them keeping Palace off the scoresheet. The Magpies have also only found the net once since ripping apart Norwich in a 6-2 win and will need to make the most of any chances that fall their way.

Crystal Palace 1-0 Newcastle


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Stadium: The Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

Kick-Off: Saturday 3pm (GMT), 10am (CDT), 9am (EDT), 7am (PDT)

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Last Season: Southampton 0-3 Manchester City (Nov. 30, 2014)

Manchester City 2-0 Southampton (May 24, 2015)

Head-To-Head Record: Manchester City - 28 wins, Southampton - 30 wins, Draws - 24

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: After a humbling 4-1 defeat at home to Liverpool last week, Manchester City will be eager to regain their spot at the top of the table. They were torn to shreds by the inter-changing, energetic front three of Coutinho, Firmino, and Lallana, and they face a similar challenge in the shape of Long, Tadic, and Mane. If Southampton can make the most of the counter then they could expose more problems in a City defense that is sorely missing captain Vincent Kompany. The absence of top scorer Graziano Pelle is a blow for the Saints and they will also need to try and stop a fit-again Sergio Aguero at the other end. Koeman’s men are good for a goal but City are a wounded animal, and the last time they lost 4-1 this season, they smashed six in their next game…

Manchester City 3-1 Southampton


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Stadium: Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Kick-Off: Saturday 3pm (GMT), 10am (CDT), 9am (EDT), 7am (PDT)

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Last Season: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke City (Oct. 4, 2014)

Stoke City 1-1 Sunderland (Apr. 25, 2015)

Head-To-Head Record: Sunderland - 64 wins, Stoke - 45 wins, Draws - 37

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: Are Sunderland about to turn around their season? 

The gritty 1-0 win at Crystal Palace on Monday was only their second three point haul of the season and will fill them with confidence ahead of the visit from Stoke. New boss Sam Allardyce has been working hard on tightening the backline of the Black Cats, and despite a 6-2 defeat at Everton, have looked much better defensively. But they welcome a Stoke side that is slowly finding their form, with the 1-0 win at Southampton making it four wins in six games. Bojan and Marko Arnautovic have been great so far this season and will provide a stern test for Sunnderland’s improving defense. The hosts need the win and Stoke are confident, so a share of the spoils is likely.

Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City


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Stadium: King Power Stadium, Leicester.

Kick-Off: Saturday 5.30pm (GMT), 11.30am (CDT), 12.30pm (EDT), 9.30am (PDT)

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Last Season: Leicester City 5-3 Manchester United (Sep. 21, 2014)

Manchester United 3-1 Leicester City (Jan. 31, 2015)

Head-To-Head Record: Leicester - 33 wins, Man Utd - 60 wins, Draws - 26.

Top Scorers & Assisters:

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Prediction: All the talk this week has been about Jamie Vardy’s remarkable record-equaling goal at St James’ Park as he joined Ruud Van Nistelrooy in scoring in 10 consecutive games in the league. But his strike was one of three that Leicester put past Newcastle on their way to the Premier League summit—an even more impressive feat. The Foxes now face the biggest test of their credentials as they kick-off a murderers row of fixtures by entertaining Man Utd at home. The Red Devils are the complete opposite of Claudio Ranieiri’s men; they’re struggling for goals and have been less than inspiring performance wise, despite sitting just one place behind Leicester in second. But in Louis Van Gaal they have a manager who is rarely out-foxed and he will ensure United give their hosts the utmost respect after suffering a humiliating 5-3 defeat here last season. The Dutch boss has proven particularly shrewd against in-form sides and he will definitely aim to stop Leicester using the counter attack. Vardy will find it tough to find the record-breaking goal and United could well be the side to end Leicester’s great form as well.

Leicester City 1-2 Manchester United


Our Predictions


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Last Week

Winner: Lucas Morel (11 Points)

Lucas made the most of a tricky week for our predictors to take the top spot in matchday thirteen. He correctly predicted Manchester United’s 2-1 win at Watford and used his banker to double it up to the full six points. His other points came from picking wins for Chelsea, Everton, and Spurs, alongside Swansea and Bournemouth’s draw. But his winning point was added by Liverpool’s 4-1 victory at Man City and was richly deserved, as he was the only predictor to go for a Reds win. Congratulations Lucas!

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Overall Rankings

Mark stretches his lead over second place Luke with a solid 10 points in matchday thirteen. Lucas continues to score highly and is now just 13 points from the top, while Orion was the only mover of the week, jumping above PJ into 6th.

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Think you can do better?

We here at SQ want to know what you think. Send us your predictions for all 10 Premier League games in the comments section below, and we will add your name to the rankings table and weekly scores. Go head-to-head with our writers to earn the title of “SQ Predictor Champion.”

The overall winner at the end of the season will win a Premier League jersey of their choice! Send us your predictions each week to be in with a shout!

Edited by Jeremy Losak, Julian Boireau.

SQuiz
Which player has scored the most goals in one Premier League season without scoring more than once in a single match (14) ?
Created 11/26/15
  1. Rickie Lambert
  2. Paolo Di Canio
  3. Teddy Sheringham
  4. Robert Pires

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